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Showing posts with label Weather Outlook. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Weather Outlook. Show all posts

Wednesday, February 12, 2014

***Important*** Rufe's Weather Outlook Update


Weather Update

 Alas, not pitch perfect, the storm to track closer to shore resulting in a nasty scenario. 

 Snow will overspread southernmost Maine mid morning Thursday, press north rapidly and become heavy very quickly. At rates in excess of 1”/hr the heaviest snow will fall around dusk. Thereafter the risk is now very real of mixtures within 30 miles of the coast between 7PM SW, 10PM east, reverting back to snow 4AM west, 7AM east. Up to ½” sleet and up to ¼” ice is likely 10-30 miles inland. Closer to the ocean the overnight blend will consist more of rain and sleet with less than a ¼” gritty mix, if that.  Snow will end by midday Friday.

 Amounts will be highly variable. 8”-14” will be the totals, front and back. Please refer to the morning graphic.
 The signature for an inversion is strong. However within 5 miles of the coast expect gusts to 40 mph from the north between 8PM SW to 4AM east. Within 20 miles of the coast north/northeast gusts of 30-40 mph during this period. 
 
(Note: 6am Map)
 
 
Weather Update
2/12/14   11AM
 Quite a robust and wet storm to impact Maine in 26-50 hours.
 Snow will overspread southernmost Maine around 11AM Thursday, pressing north rapidly and become heavy very quickly. At rates in excess of 1”/hr, heaviest snow will fall through dusk. Thereafter snow will yield to sleet 7PM SW, 10PM east, as far north as Fryeburg to Bangor. Up to ½” sleet and up to ¼” ice is likely 10-30 miles inland.
 
 Closer to the ocean rain and sleet will evolve with up to 1/4” gritty mix. Rainfall of one-half to one inch is expected, most across Penobscot Bay. The heaviest precipitation will occur between 7PM and midnight. Marked loading of coniferous tree limbs is expected, especially 10-30 miles inland. Lighter snow will resume 4AM southwest to 7AM in Rockland, ending 11AM southwest, 1PM mountains and Penobscot Bay Friday.

 Amounts will be highly variable. 8”-18” will be combined totals, front and back. The heaviest will stretch from Fryeburg to Orono. Please refer to the updated graphic. Temperatures for most will rise above freezing for several hours Friday, assisting in shedding of the saturated snow.
 
 Within 5 miles of the coast expect north gusts to 40 mph between 6PM to midnight. Within 20 miles of the coast north/northeast gusts of 30-39 mph are likely during this period.
 
(Note: 11 am Map)
 
 
You are going to get blasted so take great precautions and be safe.
 

Tuesday, February 11, 2014

Rufe's Extended Outlook Weather Update‏

Extended Outlook

Today:  am light snow south. Breezy pm. highs 16-28 N/S.

Tuesday; dry, breezy pm. lows 0-14 N/S. highs 10-24 N/S.

Wednesday; quiet and dry. lows 10below-5 N/S. highs 22-29  N/S.

Thursday; snow late. Windy at night. Lows 8-19 N/S. highs 28-38 N/S.

Friday;  morning snow and wind, dry pm. Lows 15-26 N/S. highs 27-37 N/S.

Saturday; flurries north. Breezy. Lows 15-23 N/S. highs 22-36 N/S.=
 
Sunday; quiet. Snow south? Lows 3-16 N/S. highs 17-29 N/S.
=====================   
 
 
 
Weather Update 

 The “perfect storm” late Thursday and into the night??
 
 This refers to the alignment of all parameters to generate a robust northeaster throughout the service area without ice or sleet. It appears that odds are strong favoring this scenario. There is less than a 20% risk of any mixing within 15-20 miles of the coast.  
 
 
  
 
Snow will overspread southernmost Maine mid morning Thursday, press north rapidly and become heavy very quickly. At rates in excess of 1”/hr the heaviest snow will fall around dusk. Lighter snow will fall overnight, ending by 5AM Friday. The snow will be dense along the coastal plain, classically drier north and northwest. Expect 6”-12”, most near the coast.

 The signature for an inversion is strong. Only within 5 miles of the coast does it appear possible for north/northeast gusts of 30-40 mph during the early nighttime hours.

 
 
 

Thursday, February 6, 2014

Rufe's Extended Weather Outlook

Extended Outlook

Today:  quiet and dry.  highs 14-28 N/S.

Friday;  mtn. flurry? Dry, breezy pm. lows 3-14 N/S. highs 20-26 N/S.

Saturday; dry, breezy pm. Flurries mtns? Lows 5-13 N/S. highs 20-32 N/S.

Sunday; occ. Light snow, breezy at night. Lows 3-18 N/S. highs 19-31 N/S.

Monday; am light snow, breezy. Lows 4-19 N/S. highs 14-28 N/S.

Tuesday; breezy and dry. lows 0-11 N/S. highs 12-24 N/S.

Wednesday; quiet and dry. lows 3below-10 N/S. highs 15-28 N/S.

Wednesday, February 5, 2014

Rufe's Weather Outlook * Update *

 Storm trending a bit farther north, more robust, hard hitting. 

 Snow will arrive 4AM-5AM today in Kittery and spread rapidly north and east during the morning, the first inch in Portland by 8AM. The heaviest snow will fall at midday at the rate of at least 1”/hour. The last inch will occur by 6PM, snow last to exit the coast by midnight.

 One clean storm, and winds at most could gust to 28 mph right at the shoreline tomorrow evening. Winds inland will likely not exceed 22mph. 

 Expect 6”-13” from north to south. Temps will remain below freezing for most right into early next week.
 Yet another major system will sweep up the Eastern Seaboard Monday, its track still a bit uncertain. The signature for wind is stronger.


Tuesday, February 4, 2014

Rufe's Weather Update ***Important***




Snow will arrive 4AM-5AM tomorrow in Kittery and spread rapidly north and east during the morning, the first inch in Portland by 8AM. The heaviest snow will fall at midday, the last inch by 6PM. No mixtures are anticipated. Snow will exit the coast by midnight.

 One clean storm, and winds at most could gust to 28 mph right at the shoreline tomorrow evening. Winds inland will likely not exceed 20 mph. 
 Expect 4”-12” north to south. Please refer to morning graphic.
 Temps will remain below freezing for most right into early next week. 
 Yet another major system will sweep up the Eastern Seaboard Monday, its track still a bit uncertain. The signature for wind is stronger.

 

Monday, February 3, 2014

Rufe's Extended Outlook

Extended Outlook

Today:  quiet and dry. highs 22-37 N/S.

Tuesday; quiet and dry. lows 0-18 N/S. highs 24-35 N/S.

Wednesdaysnow, moderate breeze coast. Lows 10-23N/S. Highs 23-32 N/S.

Thursday; breezy and dry. lows 4-17 N/S. highs 17-28 N/S.

Friday;  quiet and dry. lows 3-12 N/S. highs 19-31 N/S.

Saturday; quiet. Flurries north? Lows 5-14 N/S. highs 18-30 N/S.

Sunday; snow and wind at night? Lows 0-15 N/S. highs 15-30 N/S.

Thursday, January 30, 2014

Rufe's Extended Weather Outlook

Extended Outlook
 
Today:  quiet and dry. highs 18-30 N/S.
 
Friday;  dry. breezy pm? Lows 11-20 N/S. highs 30-38 N/S.
 
Saturday; Quiet. Snow late, to rain coast. Lows 10-24 N/S. highs 28-38 N/S.
 
Sunday; rain/snow end early, breezy pm. lows 28-35 N/S. highs 33-44 N/S.
 
Monday; quiet and dry. lows 9-23 N/S. highs 18-33 N/S.
 
Tuesday; quiet and dry. lows 4-15 N/S. highs 21-32 N/S.
 
Wednesday; stormy and windy. Lows 7-21. Highs 17-33 N/S.

Monday, January 27, 2014

Rufe's Extended Weather Outlook

Extended Outlook

Today:  snow showers. Windy. See discussion. highs 24-37 N/S.
 
Tuesday; windy and dry. lows 9below-8 N/S. highs 8-24 N/S.
 
Wednesday; breezy and dry. lows 2below-7 N/S. highs 15-25 N/S.
 
Thursday; quiet and dry. lows 0-8 N/S. highs 18-28 N/S.
 
Friday;  flurries. Quiet. Lows 11-17 N/S. highs 25-35 N/S.
 
Saturday; flurries. Quiet. Lows 10-22 N/S. highs 23-35 N/S.
 
Sunday; breezy and dry. lows 11-23 N/S. highs 23-34 N/S.

Thursday, January 23, 2014

Rufe's Extended Weather Outlook

Extended Outlook

Friday;  quiet and dry. Lows 19below-2below N/S. highs 3below-13 N/S.

Saturday; occ. Light snow, windy. Lows 7below-8 N/S. highs 24-34 N/S. 
 
Sunday; windy am, mnt flurries. Dry. Lows 10below-8 N/S. highs 0-15 N/S.

Monday; light snow, breezy. Lows 6below-14 N/S. highs 12-28 N/S. 

Tuesday; quiet and dry. lows 6below-9 N/S. highs 8-22 N/S. 

Wednesday; quiet and dry. lows 5below-8 N/S. highs 12-22 N/S.

Tuesday, January 21, 2014

Rufe's Weather Outlook Update

Powerful storm to impact southern NE: we shall be in the bleachers.
 Light snow will overspread the southern border around 6PM reaching the northern fringes of the service area around midnight. The “heaviest” snow will occur around 1AM, departing the coast late tomorrow morning.  The snow will be quite light and combined with a stiff north breeze there should be little in the way of adhesion to coniferous trees.  
 Expect a dusting far north to 5” in Kittery.
 Southeastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island will collect up to one foot, possibly more, with gusts to 40 mph. some issues may arise overnight and into the morning.
 

Monday, January 20, 2014

Rufe's Extended Weather Outlook


Extended Outlook 

Today:  breezy. Flurries all but coast. Mnt. Squalls? Highs 21-39 N/S.

Tuesday; quiet. Light snow coast at night. Lows 9below-10 N/S. highs 2-20 N/S.

Wednesday; am light snow coast. Windy. Lows below-8 N/S. highs 2-17 N/S.

Thursday; breezy and dry. Lows 12below-1 N/S. highs 2-17 N/S.

Friday;  breezy and dry. Lows 11below-2 N/S. highs 6-22 N/S.

Saturday; breezy, snow showers. Lows 1-11 N/S, highs 18-30 N/S.

Sunday; flurries. Mtn. snow squalls? Breezy. Lows 0-10 N/S. highs 5-12 N/S.



Thursday, January 16, 2014

Rufe's Extended Weather Outlook

Extended Outlook
 
Today:  scattered flurries and/or showers. Quiet. highs 32-41 N/S.
 
Friday;  quiet. Mnt.Flurries. Lows 24-30 N/S. highs 35-42 N/S.
 
Saturday; quiet. Mtn. flurries. lows 23-29 N/S. highs 33-39 N/S.
 
Sunday; mtn. squalls late. Breeezy7 at night. Lows 16-23 N/S. highs 18-32 N/S.
 
Mondaybreezy am. flurries. Lows 8-20 N/S. highs 17-31 N/S.
 
Tuesday; breezy. Scattered flurries. Lows 2below-16 N/S. highs 8-22 N/S.
 
Wednesday; breezy and dry. lows 9below-5 N/S. highs 4-17 N/S.
 
 http://designyoutrust.com/inspirations/cool-snow-sculptures/

Monday, January 13, 2014

Rufe's Extended Weather Outlook

Extended Outlook
Today:  breezy and dry. Highs 33-46 N/S.
Tuesday; light icing inland early. See discussion. quiet. Occasional light rain/snow. Lows 30-39 N/S. highs 38-45 N/S.
Wednesday; quiet. Flurries north and west late. Lows 27-34 N/S. highs 38-45 N/S.
Thursday; flurries and showers. Lows 19-27 N/S. highs 24-36 N/S.
Friday;  Flurries, breezy pm. Lows 13-22 N/S. highs 29-40 N/S.
Saturday; breezy and dry. lows 14-22 N/S. highs 22-33 N/S.
Sunday; mtn. flurries. Windy. Lows 6-18 N/S. highs 15-28 N/S.

Friday, January 10, 2014

Rufe's Extended Weather Outlook

Extended Outlook
Friday;  isolated flurry?  Quiet. Lows 0-13 N/S. highs 25-34 N/S.
Saturday; lite mix inland early. Heavy rain,  windy coast at nite. Discussion to follow. Lows 20-29 N/S. highs 39-48 N/S.
Sunday; heavy rain early. Dry pm. Breezy. Lows 32-37 N/S. highs 33-49 N/S.
Monday; breezy and dry. Lows 23-31 N/S. highs 37-47 N/S.
Tuesday; breezy and dry. Lows 22-30 N/S. highs 32-41 N/S.
Wednesday; light snow early, breezy. Lows 18-26 N/S. highs 28-39 N/S.

Monday, January 6, 2014

Rufe's Extended Weather Outlook


Extended Outlook
Today:  rain ending pm, mtn. squalls. Breezy coast am. Highs 40-48 N/S.
Tuesday; very windy. Dry, mtn. flurries. Lows 3-17 N/S. highs 10-20 N/S.
Wednesday; breezy and dry. Lows 0-8 N/S. highs 15-29 N/S.
Thursday; quiet and dry. Lows 5-15 N/S. highs 18-33 N/S.
Friday;  am flurries. Quiet. Lows 11-22 N/S. highs 23-39 N/S.
Saturday; ice early north: a quiet rain. Lows 20-30 N/S. highs 34-43 N/S.
Sunday; rain early. Breezy. Lows 26-35 N/S. highs 36-48 N/S.
 
1/6/14 
 Flash freeze tonight, stiff winds tomorrow.
 Any subfreezing temps in the remote northern valleys will be scoured out in an hour or two. No additional icing will occur on limbs and power lines, only loading if they are still snow laden from prior storms. Pavement however will be slow to warm inland. Expect glazing for a few hours despite temps rising through the 30s. 

 Periodic rain will end from west to east mid to late afternoon, concluding as snow showers over the mountains. Temps will remain above freezing all day, the thaw persisting. Brisk wind gusts less than 35 mph along the coast east of Casco Bay will slowly ease.
 
 Gusty west winds will spike briefly late today system wide with the frontal passage, yet should remain below 35 mph.

  Temps will crash after 4PM, as much as 3 degrees/hour. Expect a hard a flash freeze.

 West gusts tomorrow will peak between 10AM and 3PM at 35-40 mph system wide, perhaps strongest within 20 miles of the coast.

 Gusts will not exceed 35 mph Wednesday.

Friday, January 3, 2014

Rufe's Weather Outlook Update


 A few more hours of snow, several more hours of wind.
 
 We are at the peak of the wind curve: gusts to 40 at the shoreline, gusts to 35 inland to I-95, and lesser velocities to the west. Needless to say white-outs envelope a scene at times with much blowing and drifting of the last 1”-3” of snow, most at the immediate coast.
 Northerly gusts will begin to ease southwest after 9AM, northeast by noon. Gusts should diminish below 20 mph region wide at dusk. Wind chill values early this morning will range from 20-35 below zero. Temperatures will remain below zero all day north of Standish, Gray, Liberty and Belfast: a very dangerous environment for all those out in the elements.
 
 Very high tides will occur around noon today. Shorelines south of Scarborough will endure pounding surf and some degree of beach erosion.
 
 Crews may be requested for assistance throughout eastern MA and RI due to much heavier snow and stiffer wind.
 
 The next storm to arrive after dark Sunday, exiting Monday will produce primarily rain through much of the service area. Only the northern and western portions of the service area will collect light accumulations of snow, sleet or freezing rain prior to a major thaw.

Thursday, January 2, 2014

Rufe's Extended Weather Outlook



Multiple elements to this “clean” storm.
 Light snow will edge slightly further north during the day, reaching Route 2 by dusk. The snow will fall at a fairly steady rate, perhaps a pulse around midnight. The last inch will fall by 2AM over the northern fringes of the service area, by 10AM along the coast, flurries a few hours thereafter. The snow will be very light and fluffy: expect little adhesion to limbs or power lines. Amounts will range from about 2” in Jackman to 13” across southern most York County. 

 North-northeast winds will increase this afternoon and into the night, peak gusts between 2AM and 8AM tomorrow. Along the coast sustained 20, gusts 40, inland to I-95 sustained 17, gusts 35 mph, lesser velocities farther west and north. Winds will ease only slightly thereafter shifting to the north, with a more notable relaxing after 3PM. During the early morning tomorrow white-outs are likely with much blowing and drifting across the entire coastal plain. Wind chill values early Friday will range from 20-35 below zero, very dangerous for all those out in the elements.
 Very high tides will occur near noon today and tomorrow, midnight tonight. The shore south of Scarboro suffering pounding surf and erosion. 
 Utility crews may be requested for assistance throughout eastern MA and RI due to much heavier snow and stiffer wind.
Extended Outlook
Today:  snow, windy late. See discussion. highs 4 below-15 N/S.
Friday;  snow ends am. very windy am. Lows 17 below-3 N/S. highs -4 to 13 N/S.
Saturday; quiet and dry. Lows 16 below -5 below N/S. highs 16-26 N/S.
Sunday; quiet. Rain/snow at night. Lows 7-16 N/S. highs 26-38 N/S.
Monday; rain ending, mtn. squalls. Very windy. Lows 30-35, highs 32-39 N/S.
Tuesday; mtn. squalls. Windy. Lows 2-10 N/S. highs 10-21 N/S.
Wednesday; quiet and dry. Lows 3below – 10 N/S.
highs 17-29 N/S.






Monday, December 30, 2013

Rufe's Weather Outlook

Extended Outlook
Today:  am Mtn. flurries. Breezy. highs 17-34 N/S.
Tuesday; quiet. Pm mtn. flurries. Lows 10 below-8 N/S. highs 4-23 N/S.
Wednesday; quiet and dry. Lows 7 below-10 N/S. highs 0-24 N/S.
Thursday; snow, windy. Lows 19 below-7 N/S. highs 4 below-20 N/S.
Friday;  am flurries, very windy. Lows 14 below to 5 N/S. highs 0-13 N/S.
Saturday; quiet and dry. Lows 14 below -4 below N/S. highs 7-21 N/S.
Sunday; quiet. Flurries all but south. Lows 6-16 N/S. highs 26-33 N/S.

Monday, December 23, 2013

Rufe's Extended Weather Outlook

Extended Outlook
Today:  quiet. Fr. rain. See discussion. highs 30-38 N/S.
Tuesday;  breezy and dry. Lows 7-27 N/S. highs 11-31 N/S.
Wednesday; quiet and dry. Lows 7 below-12 N/S. highs 10-26 N/S.
Thursday; quiet. Mtn. flurries. Lows 8-18 N/S. highs 26-35 N/S.
Friday;  quiet. Mtn. flurries. Lows 16-24 N/S. highs 25-35 N/S.
Saturday; quiet and dry. Lows 10-20 N/S. highs 23-35 N/S.
Sunday; breezy. Mtn. flurries. Lows 15-26 N/S. highs 27-39 N/S

Sunday, December 22, 2013

Rufe's Weather Outlook Update

Minimal impact for most this afternoon, far north still dealing with additional icing.
 
 The freezing line extends east-west from Lebanon to Saco. It may inch north 10 miles or so this afternoon, then settle a bit after dusk. Along the western Maine border temps may creep a degree or two above freezing after midnight. Showers of freezing rain or mist will dry up south by dusk, not until 11PM far north. Therefore less than 1/10” additional ice will accrete south of Route 2, 1/10”-1/4” north to Jackman to Greeneville, and another 1/4” north of that zone. Winds again not a concern.
 
 The next dose of rain will cross the southern threshold around 5AM tomorrow, advancing across the remainder of the service area by mid morning. Many towns inland will still be near the freezing mark thereafter some glazing is likely, however should not exceed 1/10”. Unlike today temps will slowly rise tomorrow while the rain falls. From Coburn’s Gore to Greenville a light mix of snow/sleet/freezing rain will launch, blending to light snow by early afternoon. This demarcation will settle south after dusk Monday night, ending a snow for all but the coast, a coating to 1”.  A hard freeze will set in Monday night, persisting through at least Christmas.  
 
de·mar·ca·tion also de·mar·ka·tion  (dmär-kshn)
1. The setting or marking of boundaries or limits.
2. A separation; a distinction
I added the above definition as I did not know the explanation:(  (rufe)